Orioles at Mariners
Last play · Julio Rodríguez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners0%
BAL 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 1 – 0 SEA
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48% · hold 6.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Mariners favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Santander singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman to 2nd. (inning 4) — -14% Orioles
7Cedric Mullins singles on a ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jordan Westburg scores. Colton Cowser to 3rd.2–0
4Anthony Santander singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














