Twins at Mariners
Last play · Ty France strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners0%
MIN 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 1 SEA
Twins led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Mariners favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Byron Buxton homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Carlos Correa scores. Jose Miranda scores. (inning 6) — -28% Twins
6Byron Buxton homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Carlos Correa scores. Jose Miranda scores.5–1
4Byron Buxton doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder Luke Raley. Carlos Santana scores.2–1
3Mitch Haniger homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
2Jose Miranda singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Max Kepler scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














