Twins at Mariners
Last play · Cal Raleigh reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by pitcher Cole Sands. J.P. Crawford scores.
Win probability
Mariners100%
MIN 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 1 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Mariners favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Jose Miranda. Luke Raley scores. Josh Rojas to 3rd. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd. (inning 8) — +32% Mariners
10Cal Raleigh reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by pitcher Cole Sands. J.P. Crawford scores.2–3
8Julio Rodríguez reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Jose Miranda. Luke Raley scores. Josh Rojas to 3rd. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.2–2
6Carlos Correa homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Willi Castro scores.2–1
5Josh Rojas doubles (13) on a line drive to right fielder Max Kepler. Mitch Haniger scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














