Blue Jays at Mariners
Last play · Dominic Canzone pops out to third baseman Ernie Clement in foul territory.
Win probability
Mariners0%
TOR 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 2 – 0 SEA
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Mariners favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alejandro Kirk doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Dominic Canzone. Daulton Varsho scores. (inning 4) — -14% Blue Jays
9Luke Raley homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.5–4
8Mitch Haniger homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Mitch Garver scores. Dominic Canzone scores.5–3
8Bo Bichette reaches on a fielding error by shortstop J. P. Crawford. George Springer scores. Davis Schneider to 2nd.5–0
8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Mitch Haniger. Kevin Kiermaier scores. George Springer to 3rd.4–0
7Alejandro Kirk out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Mitch Haniger. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.3–0
5Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Dominic Canzone. George Springer scores. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd.2–0
4Alejandro Kirk doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Dominic Canzone. Daulton Varsho scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














