Orioles at Mariners
Last play · Julio Rodríguez pops out to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn in foul territory.
Win probability
Mariners0%
BAL 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 4 – 0 SEA
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 58.1% · hold 6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +130
Mariners favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan O'Hearn doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Luke Raley, deflected by center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Ramón Urías scores. Adley Rutschman scores. (inning 3) — -26% Orioles
6Cal Raleigh homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
5Ryan O'Hearn homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.4–0
3Ryan Mountcastle singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Ryan O'Hearn scores.3–0
3Ryan O'Hearn doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Luke Raley, deflected by center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Ramón Urías scores. Adley Rutschman scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














