Blue Jays at Mariners
Last play · Cal Raleigh flies out sharply to center fielder Kevin Kiermaier.
Win probability
Mariners0%
TOR 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 4 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Mariners favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · George Springer homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Alejandro Kirk scores. Leo Jiménez scores. (inning 7) — -41% Blue Jays
10Daulton Varsho singles on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Daulton Varsho to 2nd.5–4
7George Springer homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Alejandro Kirk scores. Leo Jiménez scores.4–4
5Mitch Garver homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Dominic Canzone scores. Victor Robles scores.1–4
4Alejandro Kirk out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Robles. Bo Bichette scores.1–1
3Victor Robles homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














