Astros at Mariners
Last play · Luke Raley strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners0%
HOU 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 0 SEA
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Mariners favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Meyers homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Jeremy Peña scores. (inning 7) — -40% Astros
8Yainer Diaz homers (8) on a line drive to left field.4–2
7Jake Meyers homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Jeremy Peña scores.3–2
6Julio Rodríguez homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Victor Robles scores.1–2
4Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to third baseman Dylan Moore. Alex Bregman scores. Yainer Diaz to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














