Phillies at Mariners
Last play · Mitch Haniger walks. Randy Arozarena scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd. Dylan Moore to 2nd.
Win probability
Mariners100%
PHI 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 5 – 1 SEA
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 56.2% · hold 3.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Mariners favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luke Raley doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Justin Turner scores. Jorge Polanco scores. Mitch Haniger to 3rd. (inning 6) — +28% Mariners
10Mitch Haniger walks. Randy Arozarena scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd. Dylan Moore to 2nd.5–6
6Josh Rojas singles on a ground ball to first baseman Bryce Harper. Mitch Haniger scores. Luke Raley out at home, first baseman Bryce Harper to catcher J. T. Realmuto.5–5
6Luke Raley doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Justin Turner scores. Jorge Polanco scores. Mitch Haniger to 3rd.5–4
6Jorge Polanco singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Randy Arozarena scores. Justin Turner to 2nd.5–2
5Mitch Haniger homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.5–1
5Brandon Marsh singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mitch Haniger. Trea Turner scores. Alec Bohm scores.5–0
5Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Robles. Austin Hays scores. Kyle Schwarber scores. Trea Turner to 3rd.3–0
1Alec Bohm grounds out, third baseman Josh Rojas to first baseman Justin Turner. Kyle Schwarber scores. Trea Turner to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
