Phillies at Mariners
Last play · Kyle Schwarber grounds out, second baseman Leo Rivas to first baseman Jason Vosler.
Win probability
Mariners100%
PHI 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 9 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Mariners favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luke Raley homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Dylan Moore scores. Mitch Haniger scores. (inning 2) — +21% Mariners
9Weston Wilson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Luke Raley. Brandon Marsh scores. J.T. Realmuto to 2nd.2–10
9Brandon Marsh triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Cade Marlowe. Alec Bohm scores.1–10
7Mitch Haniger homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.0–10
4Josh Rojas grounds into a force out, first baseman Bryce Harper to shortstop Trea Turner. Randy Arozarena scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd. Justin Turner out at 2nd. Josh Rojas to 1st.0–9
2Justin Turner hits a grand slam (7) to left field. Victor Robles scores. Randy Arozarena scores. Cal Raleigh scores.0–8
2Luke Raley homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Dylan Moore scores. Mitch Haniger scores.0–4
1Victor Robles homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
