Phillies at Mariners
Last play · Jorge Polanco strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners0%
PHI 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 0 SEA
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 56.2% · hold 3.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Mariners favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 8) — -23% Phillies
8J.T. Realmuto singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Victor Robles. Brandon Marsh scores.6–0
8Alec Bohm homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.5–0
8Bryce Harper homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field. Trea Turner scores.4–0
8Bryson Stott homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0
1Kyle Schwarber homers (23) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
