Mets at Mariners
Last play · Francisco Alvarez strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Mariners100%
NYM 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 2 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Mariners favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Bliss homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Mitch Haniger scores. (inning 2) — +20% Mariners
7Cal Raleigh singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jesse Winker. Leo Rivas scores. Victor Robles scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.0–6
7Leo Rivas singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesse Winker. Mitch Garver scores. Dylan Moore scores.0–4
2Ryan Bliss homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Mitch Haniger scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
