Mets at Mariners
Last play · Tyrone Taylor called out on strikes.
Win probability
Mariners100%
NYM 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 4 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Mariners favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Polanco homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — +15% Mariners
7Randy Arozarena hit by pitch. Josh Rojas scores. Leo Rivas to 3rd. Victor Robles to 2nd.1–12
7Victor Robles walks. Luke Raley scores. Josh Rojas to 3rd. Leo Rivas to 2nd.1–11
6Cal Raleigh homers (26) on a fly ball to right center field. Leo Rivas scores. Victor Robles scores.1–10
6Victor Robles singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jeff McNeil. Luke Raley scores. Josh Rojas scores. Leo Rivas to 3rd. Victor Robles to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Jeff McNeil.1–7
6Leo Rivas singles on a line drive to right fielder Ben Gamel. Jorge Polanco scores. Luke Raley to 3rd. Josh Rojas to 2nd.1–5
6Jeff McNeil homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.1–4
5Cal Raleigh homers (25) on a fly ball to right center field. Randy Arozarena scores.0–4
5Randy Arozarena singles on a ground ball to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Dominic Canzone scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
