Rays at Mariners
Last play · Luke Raley strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners0%
TB 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 0 SEA
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Mariners favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Siri homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. Jonny DeLuca scores. (inning 7) — -40% Rays
8Cal Raleigh singles on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Leo Rivas scores. Victor Robles to 2nd.3–2
8Yandy Díaz homers (11) on a line drive to left center field.3–1
7Jose Siri homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. Jonny DeLuca scores.2–1
6Randy Arozarena strikes out swinging.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
