White Sox at Cardinals
Last play · Gavin Sheets grounds out, second baseman Nolan Gorman to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
CWS 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 0 – 3 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Cardinals favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Arenado doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Willson Contreras scores. Paul Goldschmidt scores. (inning 1) — +17% Cardinals
5Nolan Arenado doubles (8) on a line drive to right fielder Gavin Sheets. Willson Contreras scores.0–3
1Nolan Arenado doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Willson Contreras scores. Paul Goldschmidt scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








