Mets at Cardinals
Last play · Masyn Winn grounds out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
NYM 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 3 – 0 STL
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Cardinals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cardinals challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Iván Herrera doubles (1) on a line drive to center fielder Brandon Nimmo. Willson Contreras scores. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Iván Herrera out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Brandon Nimmo to shortstop Francisco Lindor to catcher Tomás Nido to third baseman Brett Baty. (inning 6) — +31% Cardinals
7Brandon Nimmo homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.4–3
6Cardinals challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Iván Herrera doubles (1) on a line drive to center fielder Brandon Nimmo. Willson Contreras scores. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Iván Herrera out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Brandon Nimmo to shortstop Francisco Lindor to catcher Tomás Nido to third baseman Brett Baty.3–3
6Willson Contreras doubles (10) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder DJ Stewart. José Fermín scores.3–1
5Francisco Lindor out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Brandon Nimmo scores.3–0
5Starling Marte grounds out, second baseman José Fermín to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Tomás Nido scores. Brandon Nimmo to 3rd.2–0
1DJ Stewart doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Dylan Carlson. Francisco Lindor scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








