Orioles at Cardinals
Last play · Cedric Mullins flies out to left fielder Brendan Donovan in foul territory.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
BAL 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 5 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -227
Cardinals favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gunnar Henderson homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Cedric Mullins scores. Jorge Mateo scores. (inning 6) — -14% Orioles
7Masyn Winn singles on a soft ground ball to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Alec Burleson to 3rd. Iván Herrera to 2nd.3–6
6Gunnar Henderson homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Cedric Mullins scores. Jorge Mateo scores.3–5
4Michael Siani homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Iván Herrera scores. Masyn Winn scores.0–5
4Masyn Winn doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Austin Hays. Alec Burleson scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd.0–2
2Michael Siani singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Nolan Gorman scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
