Red Sox at Cardinals
Last play · Brendan Donovan strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
BOS 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 7 – 1 STL
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Cardinals favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler O'Neill homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 1) — -12% Red Sox
9Dominic Smith grounds out, first baseman Paul Goldschmidt to pitcher Nick Robertson. Connor Wong scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd.11–3
9David Hamilton homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.10–3
7Pedro Pagés strikes out swinging.9–3
7Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to left fielder Rob Refsnyder. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd. Alec Burleson to 2nd.9–2
6Rafael Devers homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Tyler O'Neill scores.9–1
5Dominic Smith singles on a line drive to left fielder Alec Burleson. Rafael Devers scores. Connor Wong scores. Wilyer Abreu to 2nd.7–1
5Wilyer Abreu singles on a soft ground ball to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Tyler O'Neill scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd. Connor Wong to 2nd.5–1
4Lars Nootbaar homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.4–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
