Red Sox at Cardinals
BOS6–
STL10Last play · Tyler O'Neill lines out sharply to center fielder Michael Siani.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
BOS 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 3 – 5 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Cardinals favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · David Hamilton triples (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Tyler O'Neill scores. Dominic Smith scores. (inning 2) — -21% Red Sox
9Rafael Devers grounds into a force out, pitcher John King to shortstop Masyn Winn. Rob Refsnyder scores. Connor Wong out at 2nd. Rafael Devers to 1st.6–10
8Nolan Arenado singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Lars Nootbaar scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd.5–10
7Iván Herrera singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Alec Burleson to 3rd.5–9
7Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Lars Nootbaar scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd.5–8
7Connor Wong doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. David Hamilton scores.5–7
7Jarren Duran grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Vaughn Grissom scores. David Hamilton to 3rd.4–7
6Masyn Winn homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Iván Herrera scores.3–7
5Paul Goldschmidt singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Brendan Donovan scores.3–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.