Red Sox at Cardinals
Last play · Dominic Smith grounds into a double play, pitcher Kyle Leahy to shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Tyler O'Neill out at 2nd. Dominic Smith out at 1st.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
BOS 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 1 STL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Cardinals favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Iván Herrera singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Nolan Arenado scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd. (inning 8) — +29% Cardinals
8Lars Nootbaar singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Nolan Gorman scores. Brendan Donovan scores. Lars Nootbaar to 3rd. Fielding error by right fielder Rob Refsnyder.2–7
8Masyn Winn out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Iván Herrera scores.2–5
8Nolan Gorman singles on a line drive to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Alec Burleson scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd.2–4
8Iván Herrera singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Nolan Arenado scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.2–3
8Rob Refsnyder doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Jarren Duran scores.2–2
7Lars Nootbaar grounds out, first baseman Dominic Smith to second baseman Vaughn Grissom. Masyn Winn scores. Dylan Carlson to 3rd. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.1–2
4Rafael Devers homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
2Nolan Gorman homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
