Orioles at Cardinals
Last play · Gunnar Henderson grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
BAL 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 3 – 1 STL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Cardinals favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brendan Donovan doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Nolan Arenado scores. Dylan Carlson scores. Brendan Donovan scores. Throwing error by catcher James McCann. (inning 6) — +51% Cardinals
9Cardinals challenged (tag-up play), call on the field was upheld: Kyle Stowers flies into a sacrifice double play, right fielder Lars Nootbaar to first baseman Alec Burleson. Austin Hays scores. Cedric Mullins out at 1st.4–5
7Masyn Winn homers (2) on a line drive to left field.3–5
6Brendan Donovan doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Nolan Arenado scores. Dylan Carlson scores. Brendan Donovan scores. Throwing error by catcher James McCann.3–4
5Lars Nootbaar singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Masyn Winn scores.3–1
3Anthony Santander singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Gunnar Henderson scores.3–0
3Ryan O'Hearn grounds out, second baseman Brendan Donovan to first baseman Alec Burleson. James McCann scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd.2–0
3Gunnar Henderson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Siani. Ramón Urías scores. James McCann to 3rd. Gunnar Henderson to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
