Cubs at Cardinals
Last play · Seiya Suzuki lines out to center fielder Michael Siani.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
CHC 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 4 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Cardinals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Paul Goldschmidt homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Alec Burleson scores. (inning 3) — +23% Cardinals
9Ian Happ homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.3–4
7Ian Happ homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Nico Hoerner scores.2–4
5Paul Goldschmidt homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Brendan Donovan scores.0–4
3Paul Goldschmidt homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Alec Burleson scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
