Pirates at Cardinals
Last play · Edward Olivares grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
PIT 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 4 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -170
Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Arenado doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Paul Goldschmidt scores. (inning 3) — +11% Cardinals
8Henry Davis homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.2–4
5Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Nolan Arenado scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd.1–4
5Michael A. Taylor singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Nick Gonzales scores.1–3
4Masyn Winn grounds into a force out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to second baseman Nick Gonzales. Brendan Donovan scores. Dylan Carlson to 3rd. Michael Siani out at 2nd. Masyn Winn to 1st.0–3
4Dylan Carlson singles on a ground ball to shortstop Oneil Cruz, deflected by third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes. Iván Herrera scores. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.0–2
3Nolan Arenado doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Paul Goldschmidt scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














