Pirates at Cardinals
Last play · Michael Siani strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
PIT 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 0 STL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +125
Cardinals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Joe reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Masyn Winn. Jack Suwinski scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd. (inning 9) — -34% Pirates
9Nolan Gorman homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.2–1
9Oneil Cruz out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Andrew McCutchen scores.2–0
9Connor Joe reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Masyn Winn. Jack Suwinski scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














