Rockies at Cardinals
Last play · Alan Trejo strikes out swinging, catcher Iván Herrera to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
COL 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 5 – 4 STL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -175
Cardinals favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Toglia triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Alec Burleson. Alan Trejo scores. Brenton Doyle scores. Jake Cave scores. Michael Toglia scores. Throwing error by second baseman Nolan Gorman. (inning 4) — -37% Rockies
8Dylan Carlson doubles (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Hunter Goodman. Iván Herrera scores. Brendan Donovan scores.5–8
8Brendan Donovan singles on a line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Michael Siani scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.5–6
6Dylan Carlson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Iván Herrera scores. Brendan Donovan to 3rd.5–5
5Alan Trejo singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Dylan Carlson. Ryan McMahon scores.5–4
4Michael Toglia triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Alec Burleson. Alan Trejo scores. Brenton Doyle scores. Jake Cave scores. Michael Toglia scores. Throwing error by second baseman Nolan Gorman.4–4
2Paul Goldschmidt singles on a line drive to right fielder Michael Toglia. Masyn Winn scores. Alec Burleson to 3rd.0–4
1Nolan Gorman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Paul Goldschmidt scores.0–3
1Nolan Arenado out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Michael Toglia. Alec Burleson scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














