Rockies at Cardinals
Last play · Matt Carpenter pops out to third baseman Ryan McMahon.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
COL 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 0 STL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -210
Cardinals favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Paul Goldschmidt reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Elehuris Montero. Matt Carpenter scores. Dylan Carlson scores. Alec Burleson scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 2nd. Throwing error by first baseman Elehuris Montero. (inning 6) — +43% Cardinals
7Matt Carpenter homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.6–5
7Ezequiel Tovar homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Brenton Doyle scores.6–4
7Brenton Doyle singles on a line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Charlie Blackmon scores.4–4
6Nolan Arenado singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jake Cave. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.3–4
6Paul Goldschmidt reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Elehuris Montero. Matt Carpenter scores. Dylan Carlson scores. Alec Burleson scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 2nd. Throwing error by first baseman Elehuris Montero.3–3
6Jake Cave singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dylan Carlson. Elehuris Montero scores.3–0
6Ezequiel Tovar homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
1Ezequiel Tovar singles on a line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Charlie Blackmon scores. Ezequiel Tovar out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Brendan Donovan to second baseman Nolan Gorman. Brenton Doyle to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














