Giants at Cardinals
Last play · Matt Chapman called out on strikes.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
SF 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 0 – 4 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Cardinals favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brendan Donovan called out on strikes. (inning 8) — +12% Cardinals
8Brandon Crawford doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Austin Slater. Dylan Carlson scores.3–5
8Austin Slater out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alec Burleson. Thairo Estrada scores.3–4
8Wilmer Flores hits a ground-rule double (10) on a line drive down the left-field line. Matt Chapman scores. Thairo Estrada to 3rd.2–4
7Patrick Bailey homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.1–4
2Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Heliot Ramos. Pedro Pagés scores.0–4
1Matt Carpenter singles on a line drive to right fielder Austin Slater. Brendan Donovan scores.0–3
1Brendan Donovan hits a ground-rule double (17) on a fly ball down the left-field line. Alec Burleson scores.0–2
1Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Michael Conforto. Masyn Winn scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














