Giants at Cardinals
Last play · Matt Chapman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
SF 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 3 – 6 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Cardinals favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Heliot Ramos homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Brett Wisely scores. (inning 3) — -28% Giants
6Nick Ahmed out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Jorge Soler scores.5–6
6Wilmer Flores singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Matt Chapman scores. Jorge Soler to 2nd.4–6
5Brendan Donovan singles on a line drive to center fielder Heliot Ramos. Alec Burleson scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd.3–6
3Matt Carpenter strikes out swinging.3–5
3Nolan Gorman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Heliot Ramos. Masyn Winn scores.3–4
3Heliot Ramos homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Brett Wisely scores.3–3
1Brendan Donovan homers (7) on a line drive to right field. Alec Burleson scores.0–3
1Nolan Gorman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Heliot Ramos. Masyn Winn scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














