Reds at Cardinals
Last play · Willson Contreras flies out to center fielder Stuart Fairchild.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
CIN 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 10 – 2 STL
Reds led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Cardinals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Elly De La Cruz triples (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Dylan Carlson. Jonathan India scores. (inning 1) — -12% Reds
8Dylan Carlson doubles (4) on a fly ball to left fielder Nick Martini. Brendan Donovan scores.11–4
8Brendan Donovan doubles (18) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Michael Siani scores.11–3
7Stuart Fairchild singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Carlson. Noelvi Marte scores. Will Benson to 2nd.11–2
5Luke Maile out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alec Burleson. Stuart Fairchild scores.10–2
5Stuart Fairchild doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Will Benson scores.9–2
5Will Benson doubles (13) on a line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Noelvi Marte scores.8–2
4Spencer Steer homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Elly De La Cruz scores.7–2
3Nolan Arenado homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Willson Contreras scores.5–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














