Braves at Cardinals
Last play · Zack Short strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
ATL 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 4 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Cardinals favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willson Contreras singles on a ground ball to left fielder Forrest Wall. Alec Burleson scores. (inning 3) — +12% Cardinals
9Travis d'Arnaud out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Siani. Matt Olson scores.3–4
9Ramón Laureano singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Carlson. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson to 3rd. Adam Duvall to 2nd.2–4
5Austin Riley homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.1–4
3Brendan Donovan caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Sean Murphy to shortstop Orlando Arcia to first baseman Matt Olson to shortstop Orlando Arcia to first baseman Matt Olson. Nolan Gorman scores.0–4
3Brendan Donovan singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Willson Contreras scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd.0–3
3Willson Contreras singles on a ground ball to left fielder Forrest Wall. Alec Burleson scores.0–2
3Alec Burleson doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Forrest Wall. Michael Siani scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














