Reds at Cardinals
Last play · Alec Burleson lines out to right fielder Will Benson.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
CIN 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 8 – 1 STL
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -195
Cardinals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Stuart Fairchild singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Spencer Steer scores. Jake Fraley scores. Noelvi Marte to 2nd. (inning 5) — -17% Reds
8Nolan Gorman singles on a fly ball to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Willson Contreras scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd.9–4
7Matt Carpenter singles on a ground ball to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Nolan Arenado scores. Nolan Gorman to 2nd.9–3
7Jonathan India doubles (17) on a line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Austin Wynns scores.9–2
6Paul Goldschmidt homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.8–2
5Austin Wynns doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Brendan Donovan, deflected by third baseman Nolan Arenado. Will Benson scores.8–1
5Will Benson singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Siani, deflected by second baseman Nolan Gorman. Noelvi Marte scores. Stuart Fairchild scores.7–1
5Stuart Fairchild singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Spencer Steer scores. Jake Fraley scores. Noelvi Marte to 2nd.5–1
5Noelvi Marte reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Nolan Arenado. Elly De La Cruz scores. Spencer Steer to 3rd. Jake Fraley to 2nd. Fielding error by third baseman Nolan Arenado.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














