Braves at Cardinals
Last play · Masyn Winn strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
ATL 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 4 – 2 STL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Cardinals favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zack Short singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Austin Riley scores. Ramón Laureano scores. Forrest Wall to 2nd. (inning 2) — -18% Braves
6Jarred Kelenic homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Forrest Wall scores.6–2
5Alec Burleson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Forrest Wall. Matt Carpenter scores. Michael Siani to 3rd. Masyn Winn to 2nd.4–2
2Matt Carpenter out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Forrest Wall. Paul Goldschmidt scores.4–1
2Jarred Kelenic singles on a line drive to right fielder Alec Burleson. Forrest Wall scores. Zack Short to 3rd.4–0
2Zack Short singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Austin Riley scores. Ramón Laureano scores. Forrest Wall to 2nd.3–0
2Ramón Laureano grounds into a force out, shortstop Masyn Winn to second baseman Nolan Gorman. Matt Olson scores. Austin Riley to 3rd. Sean Murphy out at 2nd. Ramón Laureano to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














