Royals at Cardinals
Last play · Willson Contreras flies out to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
KC 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 5 – 4 STL
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Cardinals favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Salvador Perez homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 6) — -23% Royals
9Kyle Isbel homers (7) on a line drive to right field.8–5
7Willson Contreras grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Dylan Carlson scores.7–5
7Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Kyle Isbel scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 2nd.7–4
6Salvador Perez homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.6–4
5Paul Goldschmidt singles on a ground ball to third baseman Adam Frazier. Alec Burleson scores.5–4
5Alec Burleson doubles (12) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Willson Contreras scores. Alec Burleson to 3rd. Alec Burleson advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.5–3
5Bobby Witt Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Adam Frazier scores.5–2
5Adam Frazier singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Kyle Isbel scores. Adam Frazier to 3rd.4–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














