Royals at Cardinals
Last play · Lars Nootbaar lines out to center fielder Garrett Hampson.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
KC 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 3 STL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Cardinals favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Garrett Hampson doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Freddy Fermin scores. MJ Melendez scores. (inning 5) — -25% Royals
9Paul Goldschmidt homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.6–4
8Salvador Perez singles on a line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.6–3
8Vinnie Pasquantino out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Maikel Garcia scores.5–3
6Salvador Perez homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.4–3
5Garrett Hampson doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Freddy Fermin scores. MJ Melendez scores.3–3
5MJ Melendez doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Hunter Renfroe scores. Freddy Fermin to 3rd.1–3
3Alec Burleson homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field. Pedro Pagés scores.0–3
2Nolan Arenado homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














