Reds at Cardinals
Last play · Spencer Steer lines out to third baseman Nolan Arenado.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
CIN 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 1 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Cardinals favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Pedro Pagés scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd. (inning 5) — +15% Cardinals
6Masyn Winn doubles (16) on a line drive to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Nolan Arenado scores. Pedro Pagés to 3rd.0–2
5Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Pedro Pagés scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














