Cubs at Cardinals
Last play · Lars Nootbaar called out on strikes.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
CHC 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 2 – 0 STL
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Cardinals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nico Hoerner grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd. (inning 3) — -14% Cubs
9Paul Goldschmidt singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Masyn Winn scores. Willson Contreras to 2nd.5–1
8David Bote doubles (3) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Christopher Morel scores. Dansby Swanson scores.5–0
7Nico Hoerner out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Miles Mastrobuoni scores.3–0
4Dansby Swanson singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Ian Happ scores.2–0
3Nico Hoerner grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














