Rangers at Cardinals
Last play · Nathaniel Lowe flies out to right fielder Lars Nootbaar in foul territory.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
TEX 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 8 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Cardinals favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brendan Donovan singles on a line drive to center fielder Travis Jankowski. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Tommy Pham to 3rd. Brendan Donovan to 2nd. (inning 2) — +10% Cardinals
7Michael Siani singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Jacob Latz. Matt Carpenter scores. Tommy Pham to 2nd.1–10
7Brendan Donovan out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Adolis García. Nolan Arenado scores. Matt Carpenter to 3rd.1–9
6Marcus Semien singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Siani, deflected by right fielder Alec Burleson. Josh Smith scores. Corey Seager to 2nd.1–8
5Brendan Donovan singles on a fly ball to center fielder Travis Jankowski. Tommy Pham scores.0–8
5Tommy Pham doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Alec Burleson scores. Nolan Arenado scores.0–7
5Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to shortstop Josh Smith. Michael Siani scores. Willson Contreras scores.0–5
2Michael Siani out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Andrew Heaney to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Brendan Donovan scores. Pedro Pagés to 2nd.0–3
2Pedro Pagés reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Tommy Pham scores. Brendan Donovan to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
