Rangers at Cardinals
Last play · Paul Goldschmidt strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
TEX 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 2 STL
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Cardinals favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Carpenter homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Paul Goldschmidt scores. (inning 3) — +25% Cardinals
7Michael Siani singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Nolan Arenado scores. Lars Nootbaar to 3rd. Paul Goldschmidt to 2nd.6–3
7Nathaniel Lowe homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Adolis García scores.6–2
7Adolis García reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Nolan Arenado. Marcus Semien scores.4–2
4Leody Taveras grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Ezequiel Duran to 3rd. Jonah Heim to 2nd.3–2
4Jonah Heim singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Wyatt Langford scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 3rd. Ezequiel Duran to 2nd.2–2
3Matt Carpenter homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Paul Goldschmidt scores.1–2
3Corey Seager doubles (14) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Josh Smith scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














