Nationals at Cardinals
Last play · Paul Goldschmidt homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
WSH 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 2 STL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Cardinals favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Siani singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood, deflected by shortstop CJ Abrams. Lars Nootbaar scores. Pedro Pagés to 3rd. (inning 7) — +23% Cardinals
9Paul Goldschmidt homers (16) on a fly ball to left field.3–4
7Michael Siani singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood, deflected by shortstop CJ Abrams. Lars Nootbaar scores. Pedro Pagés to 3rd.3–3
6Juan Yepez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. James Wood scores.3–2
3Lane Thomas doubles (16) on a ground ball to left fielder Alec Burleson. Jacob Young scores.2–2
3CJ Abrams grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Riley Adams scores. Jacob Young to 3rd.1–2
2Pedro Pagés triples (2) on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young, deflected by right fielder Lane Thomas. Lars Nootbaar scores.0–2
1Willson Contreras homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














