Dodgers at Cardinals
Last play · Willson Contreras strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
LAD 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 2 – 4 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Cardinals favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kevin Kiermaier homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Will Smith scores. Miguel Rojas scores. (inning 6) — -38% Dodgers
6Pedro Pagés singles on a line drive to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Brendan Donovan to 3rd.7–6
6Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Tommy Pham scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 2nd.7–5
6Kevin Kiermaier homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Will Smith scores. Miguel Rojas scores.7–4
6Miguel Rojas singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Gavin Lux scores. Will Smith to 3rd.4–4
6Mookie Betts homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.3–4
5Pedro Pagés homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.2–4
3Masyn Winn homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
2Paul Goldschmidt homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. Nolan Arenado scores.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
