Rays at Cardinals
Last play · Willson Contreras grounds out sharply, third baseman José Caballero to first baseman Yandy Díaz.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
TB 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 2 – 4 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Cardinals favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe homers (14) on a fly ball to center field. Curtis Mead scores. (inning 7) — -40% Rays
9José Caballero singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tommy Pham. Taylor Walls scores.6–4
7Brandon Lowe homers (14) on a fly ball to center field. Curtis Mead scores.5–4
7Yandy Díaz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Taylor Walls scores.3–4
3Paul Goldschmidt singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Carlson. Nolan Arenado scores. Brendan Donovan to 3rd.2–4
1Paul Goldschmidt grounds out, third baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Yandy Díaz. Nolan Arenado scores.2–3
1Brendan Donovan doubles (23) on a line drive to left fielder Kameron Misner. Willson Contreras scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd.2–2
1Nolan Arenado singles on a ground ball to left fielder Kameron Misner. Masyn Winn scores. Willson Contreras to 2nd.2–1
1Dylan Carlson singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Yandy Díaz scores. Brandon Lowe scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
