Rays at Cardinals
Last play · Taylor Walls grounds out, pitcher Ryan Helsley to shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
TB 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 2 – 4 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Cardinals favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Victor Scott II homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Pedro Pagés scores. (inning 2) — +26% Cardinals
9Jonny DeLuca singles on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Josh Lowe scores. Jose Siri to 2nd.3–4
2Tommy Pham homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Masyn Winn scores.2–4
2Victor Scott II homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Pedro Pagés scores.2–2
1Brandon Lowe homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. Yandy Díaz scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
