Dodgers at Cardinals
Last play · Gavin Lux strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
LAD 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 2 – 4 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Cardinals favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Burleson homers (21) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores. (inning 3) — +23% Cardinals
8Nolan Arenado homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.2–5
5Masyn Winn homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.2–4
5Shohei Ohtani homers (38) on a line drive to right center field.2–3
3Alec Burleson homers (21) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores.1–3
1Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to center fielder Kevin Kiermaier. Alec Burleson scores.1–1
1Freddie Freeman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Shohei Ohtani scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
