Dodgers at Cardinals
Last play · Nolan Arenado grounds into a double play, shortstop Nick Ahmed to second baseman Gavin Lux to first baseman Enrique Hernández. Alec Burleson out at 2nd. Nolan Arenado out at 1st.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
LAD 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 2 – 0 STL
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Cardinals favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Shohei Ohtani homers (39) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 5) — -16% Dodgers
8Lars Nootbaar homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.2–1
5Miguel Rojas singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Mookie Betts scores. Gavin Lux to 3rd.2–0
5Shohei Ohtani homers (39) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
