Brewers at Cardinals
Last play · Nolan Gorman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
MIL 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 2 – 0 STL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Cardinals favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Carpenter homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Lars Nootbaar scores. (inning 8) — +22% Cardinals
8Matt Carpenter homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Lars Nootbaar scores.3–2
8William Contreras doubles (33) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Garrett Mitchell scores.3–0
5Joey Ortiz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Sal Frelick scores.2–0
2Sal Frelick singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Willy Adames scores. Tyler Black to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
