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Padres at Cardinals

SD7STL4
Final
Inn123456789RHE
SD202030000781
STL0101001014110
Last play · Nolan Arenado grounds out, shortstop Mason McCoy to first baseman Jake Cronenworth.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
SD 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
SD 72 STL
Padres led after 5
Inning 1: Manny Machado homers (21) on a fly ball to center field. Jake Cronenworth scores.Inning 2: Paul Goldschmidt singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Brendan Donovan scores.Inning 3: Jackson Merrill singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alec Burleson. Jurickson Profar scores. Manny Machado scores. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd.Inning 4: Matt Carpenter out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Iván Herrera scores.Inning 5: Manny Machado doubles (25) on a line drive to left fielder Alec Burleson. Jurickson Profar scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd.Inning 5: Xander Bogaerts out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Jake Cronenworth scores. Manny Machado to 3rd.Inning 5: Jackson Merrill singles on a line drive to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Manny Machado scores.Inning 7: Alec Burleson hits a ground-rule double (17) on a line drive to right field. Masyn Winn scores.Inning 9: Alec Burleson singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Masyn Winn scores.
Cardinals favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Manny Machado homers (21) on a fly ball to center field. Jake Cronenworth scores. (inning 1) — -22% Padres

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.