Mets at Rays
Last play · Jonny DeLuca triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. José Caballero scores. Ben Rortvedt scores.
Win probability
Rays100%
NYM 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 5 – 4 TB
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Rays favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 9) — +42% Rays
10Jonny DeLuca triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. José Caballero scores. Ben Rortvedt scores.6–7
10Umpire reviewed (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Brandon Nimmo reaches on a missed catch error by first baseman Yandy Díaz, assist to pitcher Erasmo Ramírez to shortstop José Caballero. Harrison Bader scores.6–5
9Randy Arozarena homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.5–5
4Brandon Nimmo singles on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Brett Baty scores. Omar Narváez to 2nd.5–4
4Omar Narváez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Harrison Bader scores. Brett Baty to 3rd.4–4
3Jonny DeLuca singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. José Caballero scores.3–4
3DJ Stewart walks. Omar Narváez scores. Brandon Nimmo to 3rd. Starling Marte to 2nd.3–3
2Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Harrison Bader. Alex Jackson scores. Jonny DeLuca scores.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








