Yankees at Rays
Last play · Jose Trevino grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Yandy Díaz.
Win probability
Rays100%
NYY 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 4 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Rays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Jose Siri scores. Yandy Díaz scores. (inning 3) — +38% Rays
7Isaac Paredes out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Juan Soto. Randy Arozarena scores.2–7
7Randy Arozarena doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Yandy Díaz scores.2–6
7Yandy Díaz doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Ben Rortvedt scores.2–5
3Randy Arozarena homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Jose Siri scores. Yandy Díaz scores.2–4
2Anthony Volpe singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Anthony Rizzo scores. Austin Wells scores. Trent Grisham out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Randy Arozarena to third baseman Isaac Paredes to second baseman Amed Rosario to third baseman Isaac Paredes.2–1
1Yandy Díaz homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








