Yankees at Rays
Last play · Jonny DeLuca strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays0%
NYY 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 0 TB
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Rays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Rizzo homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 9) — -21% Yankees
9Anthony Rizzo homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0
4Anthony Rizzo singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Aaron Judge scores. Giancarlo Stanton to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








