Red Sox at Rays
Last play · Yandy Díaz called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rays0%
BOS 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 5 – 0 TB
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Rays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Wilyer Abreu scores. (inning 4) — -21% Red Sox
5Ceddanne Rafaela homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. David Hamilton scores.5–0
4Rafael Devers homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Wilyer Abreu scores.3–0
4Wilyer Abreu doubles (12) on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Jarren Duran scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
