Yankees at Rays
Last play · Richie Palacios called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rays0%
NYY 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 6 – 0 TB
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +130
Rays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gleyber Torres homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Trent Grisham scores. Anthony Rizzo scores. (inning 8) — -22% Yankees
9Yandy Díaz homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.10–6
8Jose Trevino homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.10–5
8Gleyber Torres homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Trent Grisham scores. Anthony Rizzo scores.9–5
7Isaac Paredes hit by pitch. Yandy Díaz scores. Josh Lowe to 3rd. Randy Arozarena to 2nd.6–5
7Jose Siri hits a grand slam (3) to left center field. Richie Palacios scores. Jonny DeLuca scores. Ben Rortvedt scores.6–4
5Aaron Judge homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Juan Soto scores.6–0
4Jose Trevino homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Anthony Rizzo scores.4–0
3Jahmai Jones homers (1) on a line drive to left center field.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








